Atletico Paranaensevs
Cruzeiro
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/18/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Paranaense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20