GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 2/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CorinthiansWLWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico ParanaenseCorinthians
44.9Attack36.4
71.0Defence69.7
59.4Form48.5
60.0Power53.2
0.89xG0.56
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