GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chapecoense-scDLLDD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico ParanaenseChapecoense-sc
44.9Attack31.7
71.0Defence31.7
59.4Form15.9
60.0Power29.4
2.16xG0.46
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