Atletico Paranaensevs
Chapecoense-sc
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60