Atletico Paranaensevs
Botafogo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico Paranaense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Botafogo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60