GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/15/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Belgrano Cordoba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Belgrano CordobaDDWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico ParanaenseBelgrano Cordoba
72.2Attack33.3
66.7Defence70.8
69.4Form50.0
67.9Power53.7
1.56xG0.62
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