Atletico Paranaensevs
Belgrano Cordoba
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/15/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Belgrano Cordoba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00