GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Millonarios are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 40.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MillonariosWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico NacionalMillonarios
33.3Attack47.6
0.0Defence61.9
0.0Form52.4
15.3Power55.6
0.98xG1.36
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