GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 3/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Llaneros are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LlanerosWDDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico NacionalLlaneros
64.2Attack33.3
72.8Defence66.7
71.6Form43.9
68.8Power50.1
1.46xG0.47
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