Atletico Nacionalvs
La Equidad
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 5/12/2026, 11:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while La Equidad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
15.2%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60