GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 5/12/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while La Equidad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

15.2%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
La EquidadLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Atletico NacionalLa Equidad
64.2Attack41.7
72.8Defence45.8
71.6Form43.1
68.8Power45.3
2.39xG0.58
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