GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/7/2026, 1:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jaguares are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.4% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

83.4%

Model confidence

17.4%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalDWLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
JaguaresWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico NacionalJaguares
64.2Attack30.4
72.8Defence42.0
71.6Form27.5
68.8Power35.9
2.64xG0.41
View match centre →