GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 1/29/2023, 8:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Águilas Doradas are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalWW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Águilas DoradasD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas
64.2Attack38.1
72.8Defence57.1
71.6Form50.8
68.8Power51.6
1.86xG0.54
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