Atletico NacionalvsFortaleza FC

Atletico Nacional are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.