Atletico Nacionalvs
Deportivo Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 9/8/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Cali
Original prediction
Atletico Nacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 62.3% | 41.3% | -21.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.7% | 27.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 6.56 | 14.0% | 31.4% | 17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20