GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 8/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Cali · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Deportivo Cali are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 89.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Copa Colombia, while Deportivo Cali holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Cali

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

14.1%

Deportivo Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo CaliWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
66.7Attack83.3
100.0Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
91.7Power89.2
1.20xG1.30
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