GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/2/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cucuta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

85.1%

Model confidence

15.1%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
CucutaWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico NacionalCucuta
64.2Attack36.4
72.8Defence34.8
71.6Form25.8
68.8Power35.0
2.98xG0.49
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