GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/21/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Nacional are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico NacionalWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BucaramangaWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico NacionalBucaramanga
64.2Attack46.4
72.8Defence65.2
71.6Form44.9
68.8Power52.3
1.51xG0.65
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