Atletico NacionalvsAlianza Valledupar

Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.5% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.