Atletico Mitrevs
San Telmo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Mitre · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Mitre 0-0 San Telmo, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Mitre 0-2 San Telmo
Original prediction
Atletico Mitre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.0% | 40.6% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.6% | 33.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 19.3% | 25.5% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Mitre 0–0 San Telmo
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Mitre
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Atletico Mitre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00