Atletico Mitrevs
Colon Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Mitre 0-0 Colon Santa Fe, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Mitre 0-0 Colon Santa Fe
Original prediction
Colon Santa Fe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 34.3% | 22.7% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.5% | 32.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.2% | 44.3% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Mitre 0–0 Colon Santa Fe
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Colon Santa Fe
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80