GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Mitre are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico MitreDWLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ciudad de BolívarDDLDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico MitreCiudad de Bolívar
33.3Attack28.0
61.3Defence70.7
38.7Form45.3
46.1Power50.5
0.63xG0.61
View match centre →