Atletico Mitrevs
Central Norte
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Mitre 0-0 Central Norte, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Mitre 2-2 Central Norte
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.8% | 39.9% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.9% | 35.7% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.3% | 24.4% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.98 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Mitre 0–0 Central Norte
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico MitreLDWWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Central NorteDWDDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico MitreCentral Norte
32.1Attack21.8
57.7Defence67.9
37.2Form35.9
43.9Power44.6
0.67xG0.51