GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Mitre are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Central Norte are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Mitre hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

30.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico MitreDWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Central NorteDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico MitreCentral Norte
33.3Attack21.7
61.1Defence65.2
38.9Form33.3
46.0Power42.8
0.76xG0.47
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