GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/23/2026, 1:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Mitre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CA Estudiantes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CA Estudiantes hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

31.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico MitreLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CA EstudiantesLLLWW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico MitreCA Estudiantes
33.3Attack27.8
61.1Defence72.2
38.9Form44.4
46.0Power50.0
0.60xG0.61
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