Atletico-MGvs
Sao Paulo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico-MG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 49.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40