Atletico-MGvs
Palmeiras
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 1/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Atletico-MG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palmeiras are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00