Atletico-MGvs
Mirassol
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/16/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico-MG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mirassol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico-MG
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
14.1%
Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60