Atletico-MGvs
Juventud
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Juventud are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico-MG
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20