GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/29/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente del ValleDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico-MGIndependiente del Valle
42.9Attack0.0
71.4Defence83.3
61.9Form16.7
61.2Power36.5
1.22xG0.68
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