GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/14/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Godoy Cruz are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGDLWWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Godoy CruzLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
42.9Attack45.8
71.4Defence66.7
61.9Form50.0
61.2Power55.9
1.01xG0.81
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