GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Flamengo are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flamengo

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FlamengoWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico-MGFlamengo
42.9Attack61.9
57.1Defence71.4
46.0Form66.7
50.1Power66.2
0.75xG1.52
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