GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportes Iquique are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGDDLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes IquiqueLDDLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico-MGDeportes Iquique
42.9Attack38.9
71.4Defence11.1
61.9Form22.2
61.2Power27.6
1.89xG0.68
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