Atletico-MGvs
Cruzeiro
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Do Brasil · 9/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico-MG 0-0 Cruzeiro, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico-MG 2-1 Cruzeiro
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 36.5% | 34.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.8% | 31.8% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.7% | 33.4% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Projected Score
Atletico-MG 0–0 Cruzeiro
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico-MGWDDDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CruzeiroLDWLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico-MGCruzeiro
33.3Attack40.0
73.3Defence80.0
53.3Form60.0
56.5Power62.4
0.84xG0.83