Atletico-MGvs
Cienciano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cienciano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00