GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cienciano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGDWDWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CiencianoWDWLW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico-MGCienciano
42.9Attack53.3
71.4Defence63.3
61.9Form50.0
61.2Power54.2
1.04xG0.95
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