Atletico-MGvs
Ceara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Do Brasil · 4/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ceara are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceara hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
18.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40