GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/16/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Caracas FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGWLWDD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Caracas FCLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico-MGCaracas FC
42.9Attack33.3
71.4Defence48.1
61.9Form37.0
61.2Power42.5
1.50xG0.59
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