Atletico-MGvs
Caracas FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/16/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Caracas FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico-MG
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40