GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 3/2/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Carabobo FC are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 37.8-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 19.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

66.3%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Carabobo FCLDWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Atletico-MGCarabobo FC
38.9Attack11.1
75.0Defence27.8
52.8Form5.6
57.4Power19.5
1.71xG0.40
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