GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/25/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico-MG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BucaramangaLDWWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico-MGBucaramanga
42.9Attack33.3
71.4Defence33.3
61.9Form0.0
61.2Power23.7
1.45xG0.70
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