Atletico-MGvs
Botafogo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico-MG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico-MG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Botafogo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 51.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico-MG
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
13.4%
Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00