GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atletico-MG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Botafogo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 51.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

13.4%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico-MGDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BotafogoWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico-MGBotafogo
42.9Attack55.6
57.1Defence47.6
46.0Form47.6
50.1Power51.5
1.43xG1.31
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