Atletico-MGvs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/24/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico-MG are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bolívar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20