Atletico-MGvs
Atletico Torque
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico-MG 0-1 Atletico Torque, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico-MG 3-0 Atletico Torque
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 68.0% | 34.1% | -34.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 21.3% | 26.1% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 8.83 | 10.7% | 39.9% | 29.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
29.2 pts
Projected Score
Atletico-MG 0–1 Atletico Torque
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60