Atletico Madrid Wvs
Valencia W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Madrid W 4-0 Valencia W
Original prediction
Atletico Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 79.1% | 72.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.70 | 13.5% | 16.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 12.38 | 7.3% | 11.6% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Madrid W
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Atletico Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80