Atletico Madrid Wvs
Madrid CFF W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Madrid W 4-0 Madrid CFF W
Original prediction
Atletico Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.6% | 42.4% | -21.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 20.7% | 22.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 5.72 | 15.7% | 35.0% | 19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Madrid W
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Atletico Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60