Atletico Madrid Wvs
Deportivo Alavés W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Madrid W 1-0 Deportivo Alavés W
Original prediction
Atletico Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.9% | 40.5% | -26.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.73 | 19.1% | 25.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 6.44 | 14.0% | 34.4% | 20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Madrid W
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Atletico Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00