Atletico Madridvs
Villarreal
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 8/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Madrid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Madrid 2-2 Villarreal
Original prediction
Atletico Madrid
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Madrid
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Atletico Madrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico MadridWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VillarrealDWWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico MadridVillarreal
66.7Attack66.7
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.72xG1.04