Atletico Madridvs
Osasuna
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Madrid · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Madrid 4-0 Osasuna
Original prediction
Atletico Madrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Madrid
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Atletico Madrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico MadridWDWWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OsasunaWWDLL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico MadridOsasuna
77.8Attack33.3
66.7Defence88.9
77.8Form77.8
75.3Power70.7
1.52xG1.03