Atletico Madridvs
Malaga
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 8/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Madrid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Malaga
Original prediction
Atletico Madrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Madrid
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Atletico Madrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico MadridWLLWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MalagaDLWDD
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Atletico MadridMalaga
61.4Attack50.0
62.3Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
63.5Power50.0
1.96xG0.95