Atletico Independientevs
Lobos Upnfm
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Independiente 0-0 Lobos Upnfm, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Independiente 0-4 Lobos Upnfm
Original prediction
Atletico Independiente
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.5% | 39.0% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 31.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.0% | 30.0% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Independiente 0–0 Lobos Upnfm
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Independiente
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Atletico Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60