Atletico Independientevs
Juticalpa
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Independiente 1-0 Juticalpa, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Independiente 2-1 Juticalpa
Original prediction
Atletico Independiente
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.7% | 55.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 25.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.4% | 19.7% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Independiente 1–0 Juticalpa
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Independiente
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Atletico Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40