Atletico GrauvsSportivo Luqueno

Atletico Grau are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sportivo Luqueno are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Grau hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.