Atletico Grauvs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/22/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico Grau are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80