Atletico Grauvs
Sport Boys
COMPLETEDPeru · Copa De La Liga · 8/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Grau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Grau 2-2 Sport Boys
Original prediction
Atletico Grau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.8% | 36.3% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 27.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.5% | 36.2% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Grau
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Atletico Grau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60