GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Grau are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gremio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gremio

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GrauLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GremioWLDDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico GrauGremio
23.8Attack41.7
57.1Defence70.8
23.8Form45.8
38.0Power53.6
0.60xG1.05
View match centre →